Home > About HEFCE > Introduction > About higher education in England > Impact of the 2012 reforms > Demand
Much discussion of the reforms has focused on full-time undergraduate recruitment. We feel reasonably confident that the reforms have not – or not yet – led to the major declines in full-time numbers that some predicted.
Below we look at some of the key figures and their interpretation.
Full-time undergraduate applications are up in 2013-14 after a fall in enrolments in 2012-13.

In 2012-13, there was a significant drop in the number of people starting full-time undergraduate courses – 47,000 fewer students compared with 2011-12. However, UK and European Union (EU) applications have risen in 2013-14, with 13,000 additional applicants to English institutions at the January UCAS deadline.
There are indications that fee changes are not the only cause of shifts in applications and enrolments.
Recruitment to full-time postgraduate provision has held up in 2012-13.
This follows a trend of rising demand for postgraduate study over the past decade. The first students to have paid higher undergraduate fees will not generally enter postgraduate study until 2015, so we do not yet know what impact the reforms will have in this area and therefore we cannot assume that this steady position will continue in future.
There has been a significant decline in part-time entrants at both undergraduate and postgraduate levels.
Since 2010, part-time undergraduate entrants have fallen by 105,000 (40 per cent), while on postgraduate programmes the fall was 25,000 (27 per cent).
Study in England continues to be a popular choice for students from the other UK countries.
There are different tuition fee and student support arrangements in the four countries of the UK. This could affect students’ choices.
However, recruitment from other parts of the UK and other countries in the EU accounts for only 7.5 per cent of all UCAS applicants accepted at English institutions, so fluctuations in cross-border flows are unlikely to have a significant impact in England.

Numbers of international students applying to UK universities and colleges are continuing to grow in 2013-14.
The latest UCAS figures, which include around half of the international students applying to study in England, show a 9 per cent increase in the numbers of applicants from outside the EU to English universities and colleges in 2013-14 compared to the previous year.
This continues a growing trend in applications and enrolments. However, increased competition from universities in other countries and changes to immigration policies may ultimately have a much greater impact on international recruitment than the student finance reforms.

HEFCE is seeking early information about how students’ views of postgraduate study might change in future. For example, as a pilot in 2013, a survey of students’ intentions after graduation will be attached to the National Student Survey. This will enable us to compare the attitudes towards postgraduate study of those students entering undergraduate education prior to the 2012
reforms with those of students entering since the reforms.
In 2013-14 we are providing around £130 million for students undertaking postgraduate taught programmes, and £240 million for postgraduate research students through the research degree programme supervision fund.
We are currently analysing progression rates to postgraduate study of students from different backgrounds and equality groups, and by different types of institution. We aim to publish this research alongside a comprehensive overview of the evidence later in 2013. We will consider postgraduate issues in our national strategy for access and student success, for example working to identify further postgraduate widening participation indicators to inform future strategy and funding approaches.
We have commissioned a research project to investigate what information prospective taught postgraduate students might need to help them make decisions about studying.

We need to develop a deeper understanding of the risks of large and swift declines in part-time numbers as well as the opportunities for broadening learning in flexible and innovative provision. Key actions include:
Page last updated 13 March 2013
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